> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-virus@lucifer.com
> [mailto:owner-virus@lucifer.com]On Behalf
> Of James Veverka
> Sent: Sunday, May 23, 1999 8:49 AM
> To: virus@lucifer.com
> Subject: Re: virus: Thermal Thoughts
>
>
> TheHermit.....
> Just a thought, or rather a question. What do you know about this line
> of thought?.....Recently I have been finding some articles of studies
> about Antarctic "forcing" that claim that what (good or bad) occurs
> there now is due to events thousands of years ago, not decades or the
> present. .........jim
Quite a lot. My sister is an oceanographer/marine biologist/mathematician
who is involved in this and some other related studies who keeps me posted
on current thinking. I understand the "forcing model" fairly well. It seems
we have a very good match for ice shelf collapse (and plankton population)
against sea temperature with a two decade shift using the modified ECMWF
geostrophic winds and the linear model with sea thermoexchange action
modification. I am not familiar with the idea of ancient states (just that
it exists), but just don't see the linkage between "forcing" i.e.
atmospheric forcing on the ice drift and various thermodynamic processes at
work, and the state of the world "several thousand years ago". I would say
that the chance of ancient states being a major contributor is almost
infinitesimal, unless it comes up with an explanation for the sea
temperature matching and leading icepack and plankton observations, the
purported explanation raises more questions than it answers.
TheHermit